These are SI’s picks/predictions for 2011. Here are my predictions of their predictions. (Very meta.) There are ten total, below, and I expect to get nine (or all ten) right, or I’ll consider this a failure.
- They have the Mets finishing last in the NL East, 13th in the NL (of 16), and 25th overall. None of those three will be true — they’ll do better in all three cases. (3 predictions)
- The Brewers will finish with a better record than the Marlins, by at least 3 wins.
- SI has the Rays 16 games behind the Red Sox. SI has the Nationals only 18 games behind the Phillies. Both of these things will be proven incorrect. (2 predictions)
- At least one team will lose 100 games.
- Last year, the Rays won 96 games. They’ll be closer to that mark than to the 84 wins they’re predicted for here. (Tie goes to SI).
- The last place team in the AL East will have fewer than 75 wins. (I’m not very confident with this one because the W-L records for the Jays and O’s are both reasonable, but I think in general, SI is pessimistic about too many teams, and something’s got to give.)
- More than two playoff spots will be decided by two or fewer games. Right now, only the AL Central (Twins +1 over Tigers) and the NL Wild Card (Rockies +1 over Braves) are, and I’m confident that will prove untre.
(Source: thebestdamnsportssiteever)